Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.097828 7.909387 8.855789 10.063121 11.597342 13.535704 16.268943
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.542704 7.684235 9.158790 11.298097 14.520429 19.633724 29.734833
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.299891 7.778120 9.893140 13.434917 20.085661 35.388241 107.005507
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.633557 7.171277 9.519796 13.870020 23.657509 57.581151 NaN
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.339910 7.051031 9.885696 15.912696 34.138330 247.435417 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.010500 6.818337 10.029204 17.812364 51.577476 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.560333 6.312520 9.553731 18.092087 67.867764 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.136542 5.789480 8.930260 17.697879 83.694084 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.044377 5.834897 9.505506 21.769326 438.197921 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.095939 6.161271 10.889117 32.553870 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.986256 6.157775 11.511685 43.558145 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.847243 6.070456 11.901101 57.865161 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.584353 5.718781 11.506122 66.012828 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.357218 5.412975 11.169297 77.377201 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.219167 5.287777 11.429604 124.934064 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.958232 4.840608 10.361496 101.299982 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.821651 4.668789 10.284216 144.554568 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.680456 4.466423 10.022637 192.313458 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.502514 4.155287 9.237864 150.072208 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.332850 3.849925 8.422886 107.467089 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.283427 3.827941 8.730816 239.808961 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.288190 3.940021 9.692194 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.237219 3.903977 9.995542 NaN NaN NaN NaN